chapter 1 : overview of economy

๐ŸŒ Global Economic Outlook (OECD & IMF) โ€“ Key Highlights

๐ŸŒ Global Real GDP Growth (%)

YearOECD ProjectionIMF Projection
20233.3%3.3%
20243.2%3.2%
20253.3%3.2%
20263.3%3.1% (by 2029)

๐Ÿ”น Both OECD and IMF show a trend of stable but modest global growth.
๐Ÿ”น Growth is expected to remain around 3.2โ€“3.3% globally through 2026 (OECD), while the IMF projects a slight deceleration over the longer term.


๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ณ Indiaโ€™s Economic Performance and Projections

YearOECD (Real GDP %)IMF (Real GDP %)
20246.8%7.0% (revised)
20256.9%6.5%
20266.8%

โœ… India will remain the fastest growing major economy in 2024, 2025, and 2026 according to OECD projections.

๐Ÿ”น IMF revised Indiaโ€™s growth forecast in July 2024 from 6.8% to 7.0%, showing strong economic momentum.


๐ŸŒŽ Comparison with Other Major Economies (OECD Data)

Country202420252026
๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ณ India6.8%6.9%6.8%
๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ณ China4.9%4.7%4.4%
๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ USA2.8%2.4%2.1%

๐Ÿ”ธ India leads in GDP growth, followed by China and the US.


๐ŸŒ World GDP Rankings โ€“ 2024 (Nominal GDP, IMF Data)

RankCountryGDP (USD Trillion)Real GDP GrowthGDP per Capita (USD ‘000)
1๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ USA29.172.8%86.6
2๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ณ China18.274.8%12.97
3๐Ÿ‡ฉ๐Ÿ‡ช Germany4.710.0%55.52
4๐Ÿ‡ฏ๐Ÿ‡ต Japan4.070.3%32.86
5๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ณ India3.597.0%2.70

โžก๏ธ India ranks 5th globally in terms of GDP size but has relatively low per capita income โ€” highlighting income distribution and development challenges.

๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ณ Indiaโ€™s Economic Snapshot โ€“ FY2024-25

๐Ÿ“Š Macroeconomic Overview

  • Real GDP Growth: Estimated at 6.4% in FY2024-25
    (down from 8.2% in FY2023-24)
  • Nominal GDP Growth: 9.7% in FY2024-25
    (previous year: 9.6%)
  • Real GDP (โ‚น lakh crore): โ‚น184.88 lakh crore (vs โ‚น173.82 lakh crore in FY23-24)
  • Nominal GDP (โ‚น lakh crore): โ‚น324.11 lakh crore (vs โ‚น295.36 lakh crore in FY23-24)
  • Per Capita National Income: โ‚น2,00,162
    (up from โ‚น1,84,205 in FY2023-24 โ†’ 8.7% growth)

๐Ÿ“Œ Sector-Wise GVA Growth (at Constant Prices)

SectorFY 2023-24FY 2024-25
๐ŸŒพ Agriculture, Forestry & Fishing1.4%3.8%
๐Ÿ—๏ธ Construction9.9%8.6%
๐Ÿฆ Financial, Real Estate & Prof. Servicesโ€“7.3%
๐Ÿ›๏ธ Public Administration7.8%9.1%
๐Ÿจ Trade, Hotels, RestaurantsHigh in 22-235.8%
๐Ÿ›ข๏ธ Mining & Quarrying7.1%2.9%
๐Ÿงฑ Secondary Sector (Overall)9.7%6.5%
๐ŸŒฑ Primary Sector (Overall)2.1%3.6%

๐Ÿ“Œ Sector-Wise GVA Growth (Constant Prices)

๐Ÿ”น SectorFY 2023-24FY 2024-25
๐ŸŒฑ Primary Sector (Agriculture, etc.)2.1%3.6%
๐Ÿญ Secondary Sector (Industry)9.7%6.5%
๐Ÿ›’ Tertiary Sector (Services Overall)7.6%7.2%

๐Ÿง‘โ€๐Ÿคโ€๐Ÿง‘ Social Indicators

  • Urban Unemployment Rate (Female):
    ๐Ÿ“‰ Down from 14.3% (FY2021-22) to 9% (FY2024-25)
  • Urban Youth Unemployment:
    ๐Ÿ“ˆ Elevated at 16.8% in FY2024-25
  • Poverty Reduction:
    โœ… Share of people living below $2.15/day (2017 PPP) halved between 2011 and 2019

๐ŸŒ Indiaโ€™s Global Economic Standing

  • 5th largest economy in nominal terms globally
  • 3rd largest economy by Purchasing Power Parity (PPP)
  • Goal: Achieve high middle-income status by 2047 (centenary of independence)


๐Ÿ“ Suggested Prelims/MCQ Questions:

  1. Q: What is Indiaโ€™s estimated real GDP growth rate for FY2024-25 as per Advance Estimates by MoSPI?
    A: 6.4%
  2. Q: Which sector recorded the highest GVA growth rate in FY2024-25?
    A: Public Administration (9.1%)
  3. Q: Indiaโ€™s GDP per capita for FY2024-25 is estimated to be:
    A: โ‚น2,00,162
  4. Q: Between 2011 and 2019, India halved its population living below how much per day (in PPP terms)?
    A: $2.15/day (2017 PPP)
  5. Q: As per OECD, which country is projected to be the fastest growing economy in 2024, 2025, and 2026?
    A: India

๐Ÿ”„ Sector-wise Share in Gross State Domestic Product (GSDP)

๐Ÿ“… Year๐Ÿšœ Agriculture (%)๐Ÿญ Secondary (%)๐Ÿ›’ Tertiary (%)
1950โ€“5170.37%7.41%22.22%
1990โ€“9135.06%26.50%38.44%
2011โ€“1217.16%43.81%39.03%
2023โ€“2414.74%39.98%45.28%

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